Using and Designing GCM—RCM Ensemble Regional Climate Projections
Kendon, E., Jones, R., Kjellström, E. and Murphy, J.
Multimodel ensembles, whereby different global climate models (GCMs) and regional climate models (RCMs) are combined, have been widely used to explore uncertainties in regional climate projections. In this study, the extent to which information can be enhanced from sparsely filled GCM—RCM ensemble matrices and the way in which simulations should be prioritized to sample uncertainties most effectively are examined. This study suggests that (with certain exceptions), given limited computer resources, ensembles should be designed to prioritize the sampling of GCM uncertainty, using a reduced set of RCMs.
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