Ensemble analysis of frost damage on vegetation caused by spring backlashes in a warmer Europe
Jönsson, A. M. and Bärring, L.
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 401-418, doi:10.5194/nhess-11-401-2011.
Tree dehardening and budburst will occur earlier in a warmer climate, and this could lead to an increased risk of frost damage caused by temperature backlashes. By using a spring backlash index and a cold hardiness model, we assessed different aspects of risk for frost damage in Norway spruce forests during the present climate and for one future emission scenario.
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